Professor Neil Ferguson is the main adviser of the British government in the field of pandemic prevention today. His comments helped the government of this country make a decision to blockade the country. He said the data shows that social isolation measures are starting to work, although they have not yet impacted daily reported deaths.

Professor Neil Ferguson, epidemiologist in a video exchange with the Science and Technology Committee of the British House of Representatives last week.

In an interview with the BBC, he said that we could see that in the UK there were the first signs that indicators were starting to fall. The death index is not seen because it still takes some time for the measures to be applied. But for example, looking at the number of people hospitalized today has clearly seen the pace slow down a bit. This reduction cannot be compared with the increase in daily infections, but the overall increase has decreased. We can see the same trend in some other countries in Europe.

Professor Ferguson also said that about one third or 40% of infected people have no symptoms, but there is no evidence that the majority of infected people are asymptomatic. Approximately 3-5% of the population in central London is likely to be infected with the virus, this number may be higher in densely populated hotspots, and for the entire population of the country, around 2- 3% were infected.

The number of confirmed cases in the UK - figures of the British public health agency on 30/3/2020.

The number of deaths is also an important number to as‌sess whether or not the epidemic will increase or decrease, but it takes 2-3 weeks to show the actual situation of the infection. There are still new cases happening every day and if you look at the detailed numbers in China, you can see a period of exponential growth after an unexpected stagnation due to the application of strong measures.

He said that the next most important step is to test for antibodies to know if the person is definitely infected with the virus and is at the end of the disease cycle, and hopefully these tests will be conducted in the next few days. . Professor Ferguson’s as‌sessment gives hope that the blockade will work, but he also said it needs to be speeded up.

The UK government said it had a program of increasing testing on a large scale, including testing for health workers of the country’s Health Service Agency. In early March, the government announced it would conduct tests on 10,000 people a day, then increase to 25,000 a day.

However, it will take weeks for the test kit and labs to reach the capacity to test 10,000 such samples. That means the Health Service Agency staff is only just starting to get tested.